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1S

1ST SOURCE CORP (SRCE)·Q4 2024 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • EPS $1.27 rose 10.43% year over year but fell 9.93% quarter over quarter; net income was $31.44M, up 10.58% YoY and down 10.02% QoQ .
  • Net interest margin expanded 14 bps QoQ to 3.78% on an FTE basis (3.77% GAAP), and tax-equivalent NII grew 11.22% YoY and 5.14% QoQ to $79.52M .
  • Noninterest income declined 17.67% QoQ, driven by a $3.89M realized loss from repositioning the AFS securities portfolio (replacing 0.71% yield bonds with ~4.64% yield) .
  • Board raised the quarterly cash dividend to $0.36 (+5.88% YoY) and loans/deposits ended the year at $6.85B/$7.23B (+5.16%/+2.7% YoY) providing capital return and balance sheet growth catalysts .
  • Wall Street consensus (S&P Global) for Q4 2024 EPS/Revenue was unavailable at the time of analysis; we cannot benchmark beats/misses vs estimates.

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Net interest margin expanded sequentially (+14 bps QoQ to 3.78% FTE) despite sustained deposit pricing competition; tax-equivalent NII increased 11.22% YoY and 5.14% QoQ .
  • Average loans and leases rose $288.56M (+4.52% YoY) in Q4; end-of-period loans/leases reached $6.85B (+5.16% YoY), driven by Construction Equipment, Auto & Light Truck, and Renewable Energy portfolios .
  • ROA improved to 1.42% (vs 1.32% prior-year Q4) and CET1 strengthened to 14.21% vs 13.22% a year ago, reinforcing earnings quality and capital buffers .
  • Management quote: “We are pleased to announce record net income for the fourth year in a row… tax-equivalent net interest margin expanded during 2024 to 3.64%… we also experienced margin expansion of 14 basis points [in Q4].” – CEO Christopher J. Murphy III .

What Went Wrong

  • Noninterest income fell $3.97M QoQ (-17.67%) due to $3.90M losses from selling low-yield AFS securities (0.71%) to reposition into ~4.64% yield; estimated breakeven ~1.6 years .
  • Noninterest expense rose $3.38M QoQ (+6.65%), including $0.85M stolen check fraud loss and higher data processing costs tied to technology projects .
  • Credit costs normalized with Q4 net charge-offs of $0.69M (vs net recoveries in prior-year Q4), and the provision for credit losses increased to $3.58M (vs $2.07M prior-year Q4) as nonperforming assets-to-loans rose to 0.46% (vs 0.37% a year ago) .

Financial Results

P&L and Key Ratios vs Prior Year and Prior Quarter

MetricQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Net Interest Income ($M)$71.33 $75.49 $79.37
Net Interest Income - FTE ($M)$71.50 $75.63 $79.52
Provision for Credit Losses ($M)$2.07 $3.11 $3.58
Noninterest Income ($M)$20.08 $22.45 $18.48
Noninterest Expense ($M)$52.81 $49.44 $54.21
Net Income ($M)$28.42 $34.91 $31.44
Diluted EPS ($)$1.15 $1.41 $1.27
ROA (%)1.32% 1.59% 1.42%
ROE (%)11.87% 12.87% 11.21%
NIM (GAAP, %)3.51% 3.63% 3.77%
NIM (FTE, %)3.51% 3.64% 3.78%
Efficiency Ratio (GAAP, %)57.77% 50.49% 55.40%
Total Net Revenue (GAAP) ($M)$91.41 $97.93 $97.85

Segment/Portfolio Balances (End of Period)

Portfolio ($000)Q4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Commercial & Agricultural$766,223 $723,176 $772,974
Renewable Energy$399,708 $479,947 $487,266
Auto & Light Truck$966,912 $949,473 $948,435
Medium & Heavy Duty Truck$311,947 $299,208 $289,623
Aircraft$1,078,172 $1,065,801 $1,123,797
Construction Equipment$1,084,752 $1,141,367 $1,203,912
Commercial Real Estate$1,129,861 $1,156,823 $1,215,265
Residential RE & Home Equity$637,973 $664,581 $680,071
Consumer$142,957 $135,724 $133,465
Total Loans & Leases$6,518,505 $6,616,100 $6,854,808

KPIs (End of Period and Credit Quality)

KPIQ4 2023Q3 2024Q4 2024
Deposits ($000)$7,038,581 $7,125,944 $7,230,035
Allowance for Loan & Lease Losses ($000)$147,552 $152,324 $155,540
ALLL / Loans (%)2.26% 2.30% 2.27%
Net Charge-offs (Recoveries) to Avg Loans (%)(0.10%) 0.05% 0.04%
Nonperforming Assets / Loans (%)0.37% 0.47% 0.46%
CET1 (%)13.22% 14.18% 14.21%
Quarterly Dividend ($/sh)$0.34 $0.36 $0.36
NPS (Customer Experience)76.4 (Excellent)

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Cash Dividend per Common ShareQ4 2024$0.34 (Q4 2023 actual) $0.36 Raised
Formal Financial Guidance (Revenue/Margins/OpEx/Tax)Q4 2024None providedNone providedMaintained (no formal guidance)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

Note: A Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was not available; themes below reflect management commentary from press releases and filings.

TopicQ2 2024 (Prior Mentions)Q3 2024 (Prior Mentions)Q4 2024 (Current Period)Trend
Net Interest MarginNIM up 5 bps QoQ to 3.59% (FTE) on disciplined pricing; third consecutive quarter of expansion NIM up 4–5 bps QoQ to 3.63%/3.64% (GAAP/FTE); fourth consecutive expansion NIM up 14 bps QoQ to 3.77%/3.78% (GAAP/FTE) Improving
Deposit Pricing CompetitionRate competition persisted across banks/MMFs/bonds Persistent deposit rate competition as Fed kept rates elevated; noted recent start to lowering “Despite sustained deposit pricing competition,” margin expanded Easing gradually
Credit QualityNet recoveries $1.99M; NPA/loans 0.31%; ALLL 2.26% Net charge-offs $0.85M; provision up; NPA/loans 0.47%; ALLL 2.30% Net charge-offs $0.69M; provision $3.58M; NPA/loans 0.46%; ALLL 2.27% Normalizing
Technology InitiativesHigher data processing costs tied to tech projects Continued tech project spend Joined U.S. Faster Payment Council; higher data processing costs Ongoing investment
Renewable Energy FinancingPortfolio growth in Renewable Energy in Q2 Continued portfolio contribution Renewable Energy portfolio $487M EOP; Agilitas financing package announced Expanding
Capital & DividendsCET1 13.74%; dividend increased to $0.36 CET1 14.18%; dividend $0.36 CET1 14.21%; dividend $0.36; 37th consecutive year of dividend growth Strengthening

Management Commentary

  • “We are pleased to announce record net income for the fourth year in a row and we reached our 37th consecutive year of dividend growth… our tax-equivalent net interest margin expanded during 2024 to 3.64%… During the fourth quarter, we also experienced margin expansion of 14 basis points.” – Christopher J. Murphy III, Chairman & CEO .
  • “Our NPS has remained strong through each quarter of 2024 - above 76%… we were pleased to achieve an ‘Excellent’ Net Promoter Score (NPS) of 76.4%.” .
  • “1st Source Bank joined the U.S. Faster Payment Council in the fourth quarter of 2024.” .
  • “Partnered with the City of South Bend and ISBDC on the South Bend Opportunity Fund… small business loans at lower interest rates.” .

Q&A Highlights

A Q4 2024 earnings call transcript was not available in the document set; no Q&A themes or clarifications can be provided at this time.

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates from S&P Global (Capital IQ) for Q4 2024 EPS and Revenue were unavailable at the time of analysis due to data access limits. As a result, we cannot assess beats/misses versus consensus for this quarter.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin expansion and disciplined loan pricing are driving core earnings resilience: NIM rose 14 bps QoQ to 3.78% (FTE), and tax-equivalent NII increased 11.22% YoY .
  • Balance sheet growth remains healthy: loans/leases ended at $6.85B (+5.16% YoY), deposits at $7.23B (+~2.7% vs Q4 2023), supporting forward NII trajectory .
  • Credit costs are normalizing, not spiking: Q4 net charge-offs were $0.69M with NPA/loans at 0.46%; ALLL held at 2.27% of loans .
  • Near-term earnings headwind from AFS portfolio repositioning likely transitory: $3.89M realized loss swaps ~0.71% yields to ~4.64% with ~1.6-year breakeven, improving future NII/NIM .
  • Opex vigilance needed: Q4 noninterest expense rose 6.65% QoQ on fraud loss and tech spend; monitor trajectory and efficiency ratio (55.40%) as tech investments scale .
  • Capital and shareholder returns are robust: CET1 14.21% and dividend at $0.36 with 37 consecutive years of growth; modest buybacks occurred (2,997 shares; $0.18M) .
  • Strategic momentum in payments and renewable energy financing (e.g., Faster Payments Council membership; Agilitas financing) broadens growth vectors beyond core banking .